08 June 2008

NL Rookie of the Year so Far


Well, this race is a bit more interesting than the AL race. There are more people involved, and they're doing better. Here they are:

Pitching
Jorge Campillo (ATL): 2-0, 1.79 ERA, 40.1 IP, 36 K, 3 H
Phil Dumatrait (PIT): 2-3, 3.47 ERA, 59.2 IP, 43 K, 33 BB
John Lannan (WAS): 4-6, 3.47 ERA, 70 IP, 43 K, 26 BB
Hiroki Kuroda (LAD): 3-5, 3.49 ERA, 80 IP, 48 K, 23 BB
Jair Jurrjens (ATL): 6-3, 3.77 ERA, 76.1 IP, 55 K, 32 BB

Batting
Kosuke Fukudome (CHC): .300/.403/.437, 13 DB, 4 HR, 24 RBI, 39 R
Geovany Soto (CHC): .283/.375/.540, 19 DB, 10 HR, 39 RBI, 23 R
Joey Votto (CIN): .284/.358/.505, 12 DB, 10 HR, 32 RBI, 30 R
Blake DeWitt (LAD): .297/.369/.446, 7 DB, 5 HR, 29 RBI, 24 R

In the pitching realm, no one really sticks out. Campillo has done well but under the radar, and he hasn't done enough as a starter to warrant too much consideration. Dumatrait is the same way. Lannan has been pretty solid all season (with the exception of two starts), but he has a low strikeout total. Kuroda seems to be the best option because of the innings pitched, but he also has a low strikeout rate. Jurrjens was awesome to start the season but has faltered as of late, but by the end, I expect him to be the best option of the pitchers.

As for the hitters, it really comes down to two Cubs and two Reds. Fukudome has been solid, but he hasn't done much really well. Soto is probably the best choice as of now, and the high numbers of DB, HR, and RBI will win lots of voters. Votto has been solid, but a lot of he doesn't have the RBI or DB totals of Soto. DeWitt has been the biggest surprise of the four, but again, he doesn't have the crowd-pleasing HR and RBI totals. As for the other Red I mentioned, his name is Jay Bruce. In 49 AB, he has hit .429/.533/.694 with 3 HR, 11 RBI, 4 DB, and 14 R, but he can't keep that up. However, like Longoria, he has been a media darling of sorts, and he will be a contender by the end.

Overall, no pitcher really deserves the award, especially considering the quality sticks. Fukudome doesn't have the HR and RBI to win the award, and he won't pull an Ichiro until he hits more and has more SB. To me, the award comes down to Soto and Bruce. Because of the precedent of the less-experienced Braun beating Tulowitski, Bruce can win this award with fewer games played. Bruce seems to be the best choice because he won't wear down the same as Soto, and everyone seems to love him anyway.

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