Ken Rosenthal and others are talking about a Jason Marquis-Luis Vizcaino trade. In Rosenthal's report, he says:
The Rockies have a surplus of right-handed relievers and they long have had interest in Marquis, a sinker-baller who is 3-0 with a 2.51 career ERA at Coors Field. The team also had pursued free-agent right-hander Tim Redding, who is looking for a two-year contract.
I won't get into a detailed discussion on this because it boils down to a bad starting pitcher being traded for an erratic reliever, both of whom are being paid much more than they are worth. However, I have some nagging questions about this. One, are the Rockies really going to trade for Marquis based on 5 games and 28.1 IP in Coors Field when the rest of his body of work at more pitcher-friendly ballparks (Shea Stadium- 4.80 ERA in 8 starts, for instance; but anywhere other than Coors is more pitcher-friendly -- career ERA of 4.55 and FIP of 4.94 , it had to shoot up somehow) shows he's a bad pitcher, especially considering the price tag? Two, for Marquis' reputation as a sinker-baller, his career 1.50 GB/FB isn't that impressive. Lowe (3.32) and Webb (3.57) are more indicative of being groundball pitchers (granted, they are the best, but it would take something north of 2 to probably make any sort of real difference when considering Coors). 1.50 is nice, but I'm not sure it's going to make much of a difference at Coors for a season. Webb or Lowe might be able to overcome Coors, but not Marquis. This would be a clear win for the Cubs, moving salary and getting a decent reliever. Okay, maybe not clear, but I really don't see the upside for Colorado. Not that Tim Redding is better, but at least, he's cheaper.
And yes, I realize this may not happen, and for my opinion of the Colorado front office, I hope they don't do it.
30 December 2008
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