Buster Olney makes a run through the Mark Teixeira situation and says Tex might want to make a decision soon. I'm not so sure, and I think he still has more leverage. However, it might mean Boras has to pull something similar to Kinzer and Tellem. Here's how I see the teams:
Red Sox: Still the front-runner considering interest and ability to pay. Henry has said he won't increase the offer, and as of now, he probably has the highest offer. He'll wait it out.
Yankees: Can they really resist going after a marquee guy when he fills a need and is so obviously perfect? I'm not so sure either. Jason mentioned that the Yankees still have money to burn, so that isn't the problem (as if I really believed that it would be). My guess is that they're waiting around to find out exactly how much they need to spend, and when the market becomes established, they'll make a last-minute offer (kind of like when people wait until the last second on eBay). They desperately need CC and made him a huge offer, but they don't need Tex.
Orioles, Nationals: People want to assume they're out of it, but why do I sense a Texas Rangers-for-ARod move? Both teams need him but for different reasons. The Orioles are starting to come around, but they need a legitimate clean-up hitter to make sure the offense can compete. He's a sure thing. Guys like Wieters and Reimold can hit, but are they that good? The Nationals need to make a splash to show the world they aren't just giving up in D.C. They also have some good, young players and a nice clean-up hitter with a great reputation would be a great addition. Sure, he ties up their payrolls more than he would for the Yankees or Red Sox, but since when have people really worried about that? My guess is that Boras comes to one or both and says, "If you offer x, we'll sign it," and enticed by the opportunity, one or the other ups the offer because they know the Red Sox, and possibly the Yankees, have outbid them. Then, Boras brings the offer back to the Sox or the Yankees to see their reaction. Even if they don't outbid the offer, Tex still has his great contract from the Orioles or Nationals. Considering the Yankees and Red Sox seem more reluctant to just spend, either the Orioles or Nationals could very well end up with him.
Angels: I guess they're out of it, but forgive me for not believing them too much.
Braves: Just for shits and giggles, let's think about it. The Braves have the money and desperately want some sort of impact addition. Getting him means the Braves got Casey Kotchman (and then the prospects the Braves trade him for) and Stephen Marek for free (considering Teixeira wouldn't have helped the Braves in the last two months). Yes, I understand this is a severe long-shot, but won't you let me dream?
Our favorites for landing Teixeira are obviously the Yankees and the Red Sox, but seriously, can we really discount the Orioles or Nationals?
22 December 2008
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